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How do data scientists validate the accuracy of a machine learning model?

Data scientists validate the accuracy of a machine learning model using several techniques to ensure the model performs well on unseen data. Here are key methods:

  1. Train-Test Split

The dataset is split into training and testing sets (commonly 80:20 or 70:30).

The model is trained on the training set and evaluated on the testing set.

Helps check if the model is overfitting or underfitting.

  1. Cross-Validation

Most commonly, k-fold cross-validation is used. Also explore Role of Data Science in Education

The dataset is divided into k subsets, and the model is trained and validated k times, each time using a different fold as the validation set.

Provides a more reliable estimate of model performance.

  1. Confusion Matrix

For classification models, it shows True Positives, True Negatives, False Positives, and False Negatives.

Helps calculate accuracy, precision, recall, and F1 score.

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  1. Performance Metrics

Depending on the task:

Classification: Accuracy, Precision, Recall, F1 Score, ROC-AUC

Regression: Mean Squared Error (MSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), R² Score

  1. Hold-Out Validation / Validation Set

In addition to the train-test split, a validation set can be used to tune hyperparameters before final testing.

  1. Residual Analysis

Used in regression to analyze the difference between predicted and actual values.

Helps detect patterns that suggest model bias or variance issues.

  1. Out-of-Sample Testing

Apply the model to new or external datasets that were not involved in model training to test the generalization ability.